The Evolution of Weather Forecasting: From Cloud Patterns to Smartphone Apps
TLDR Weather forecasting has come a long way from early attempts based on cloud patterns and astrology. With the invention of instruments like the thermometer, barometer, and radar, as well as advancements in technology and data collection, weather forecasts have become increasingly accurate, although skepticism remains about minute-by-minute predictions made by smartphone apps.
Timestamped Summary
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Weather forecasting is a complex process that has evolved over time, with early attempts based on cloud patterns and astrology.
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The invention of the thermometer allowed meteorology to be treated as a real science, with the first modern thermometer with a standardized scale being created by Daniel Gabriel Fahrenheit in 1714.
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The invention of the barometer, anemometer, and telegraph allowed for the collection and exchange of weather data, leading to the development of weather forecasts and storm warning services.
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The development of weather forecasting involved the collection of data, the use of balloons to study the upper atmosphere, and the early attempts at numerical weather predictions.
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Weather forecasting has been improved over time with the use of models, powerful computers, weather satellites, and weather radar.
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Weather radar has evolved to include Doppler radar and networks of radar systems that share data, while future developments include personal weather stations and weather drones for more accurate data gathering.
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Weather forecasting has improved over the years, with five-day forecasts being accurate about 90% of the time, seven-day forecasts about 80% of the time, and ten-day forecasts about 50% of the time, but there is skepticism about smartphone apps claiming to make predictions down to the minute.